bibdata = d3.csvParse(`fy,state,bib_gal
1898,IL,29792
1898,IN,3695
1898,KY,366622
1898,OH,16290
1898,PA,108852
1899,IL,16267
1899,IN,779
1899,KY,228614
1899,OH,3825
1899,PA,140354
1900,IL,16769
1900,IN,1049
1900,KY,234914
1900,OH,7512
1900,PA,156277
1901,IL,21526
1901,IN,6999
1901,KY,288358
1901,OH,5549
1901,PA,198172
1902,IL,29163
1902,IN,5754
1902,KY,305220
1902,OH,6710
1902,PA,188137
1903,IL,38858
1903,IN,5665
1903,KY,418530
1903,OH,16364
1903,PA,238736
1904,IL,44209
1904,IN,6298
1904,KY,657856
1904,OH,19960
1904,PA,356339
1905,IL,50156
1905,IN,10362
1905,KY,949751
1905,OH,29235
1905,PA,538237
1906,IL,63010
1906,IN,12166
1906,KY,1547093
1906,OH,33132
1906,PA,761699
1907,IL,85983
1907,IN,25684
1907,KY,2942260
1907,MO,5712
1907,OH,202842
1907,PA,1122255
1908,IL,95289
1908,IN,49335
1908,KY,3236470
1908,MO,17355
1908,OH,387822
1908,PA,921612
1909,IL,228788
1909,IN,68933
1909,KY,4288326
1909,MO,68972
1909,OH,471965
1909,PA,1114639
1910,IL,368282
1910,IN,88726
1910,KY,5950277
1910,MO,90179
1910,OH,795664
1910,PA,1548983
1911,IL,559046
1911,IN,102312
1911,KY,7095958
1911,MO,104016
1911,OH,756218
1911,PA,1781855
1912,IL,445870
1912,IN,117300
1912,KY,6277845
1912,MO,61851
1912,OH,829740
1912,PA,1686498
1913,IL,621964
1913,IN,149676
1913,KY,6706756
1913,MO,45071
1913,OH,952206
1913,PA,1805902
1914,IL,660226
1914,IN,162442
1914,KY,6593926
1914,MO,30837
1914,OH,966116
1914,PA,1757810
1915,IL,602720
1915,IN,216139
1915,KY,6381863
1915,MO,37780
1915,OH,787935
1915,PA,1499255
1916,IL,811244
1916,IN,361497
1916,KY,8104846
1916,MO,59166
1916,OH,1044003
1916,PA,1910709
1917,IL,942554
1917,IN,320259
1917,KY,10858233
1917,MO,104072
1917,OH,1391836
1917,PA,2582600
1918,IL,630848
1918,IN,182757
1918,KY,6648240
1918,MO,32062
1918,OH,754708
1918,PA,1677916
1919,IL,781131
1919,IN,237899
1919,KY,10274290
1919,MO,30706
1919,OH,1068483
1919,PA,2389728
1920,IL,170234
1920,IN,17001
1920,KY,854520
1920,MO,2796
1920,OH,30155
1920,PA,529473`, d3.autoType)The Father of Food and Drug Law as Strategic Regulator
Dr. Harvey Wiley and the Political Economy of the Bottled-in-Bond Act of 1897
Regulation
Public Choice
Economic History
Working Paper
A public-choice reinterpretation of the 1897 Act, combining a newly hand-collected district-level panel of bonded-whiskey withdrawals, newspaper price data, and the legislative record to show how a ‘consumer-protection’ law functioned as a quality signal for incumbent distillers and a vehicle for bureaucratic growth.
Job market paper · sole-authored
Overview
The Bottled-in-Bond Act of 1897 is usually remembered as one of America’s first consumer-protection laws — a federal guarantee against adulterated whiskey. This paper reinterprets it through public choice, marshalling three kinds of new evidence: a hand-collected district-level panel of bonded-whiskey withdrawals (FY1898–1920) re-digitized from the Commissioner of Internal Revenue’s annual reports, a set of newspaper price quotations used to value the federal “green stamp,” and the legislative and lobbying record around the Act’s passage. Together they tell a consistent story: the certification was genuinely valued in the market, its gains accrued to a concentrated set of incumbent aged distillers, and the regulator who championed it — Dr. Harvey Wiley’s Bureau of Chemistry — grew alongside the policy.
Abstract
“The Bottled-in-Bond Act of 1897 (BiB) is often framed as one of the earliest consumer protection laws in the United States. Traditionally, it is seen as a measure to safeguard consumers from harmful whiskey adulteration. However, a public choice interpretation suggests that BiB served the interests of both incumbent aged whiskey distillers and federal regulators. Dr. Harvey Wiley, the head of the Bureau of Chemistry, played a central role in legitimizing and enforcing this regulation, expanding the power of his bureau while assisting straight whiskey distillers in their battle against rectifiers. Distillers often quoted statements made by Dr. Wiley in their advertisements to make appeals to authority that their competitors were not eligible to make. This paper reinterprets the BiB through the lens of regulatory capture, examining Wiley’s role as a strategic regulator who used the Act to cement his influence in federal food and drug policy.”
Three findings
1. The certification was a priced quality signal. In a hedonic model of newspaper whiskey prices, bottled-in-bond whiskey carried a premium of about +9.6% (significant at the 10% level), on top of a steep and highly significant +7.4% per year age gradient (N = 187, R² = 0.66). Quality was genuinely priced — and the federal stamp was a credible way to signal it.
2. The gains were captured by incumbents. Rather than a jump in whiskey prices at 1897, the action is on the adoption margin. Bonded withdrawals grew from ~0.5 million gallons in 1898 (≈0.4% of all tax-paid withdrawals) to ~16.5 million in 1917 (≈11%) — about 140 million gallons certified cumulatively — and the bonded segment pulled away from rectified whiskey at roughly +24% per year. That growth was extraordinarily concentrated: Kentucky alone supplied ~59–66% of national bottled-in-bond output across the period (≈65% cumulatively), and Kentucky plus Pennsylvania about 81% — exactly the established aged-whiskey producers who had lobbied for the law.
3. The regulator grew with the rule. The legislative record shows Wiley’s Bureau of Chemistry actively shaping and enforcing the standard. Wiley’s congressional testimony could not name a specific harmful ingredient in blended whiskey and leaned on outside informants; the Act passed the Senate by unanimous consent; and the Bureau’s appropriations rose from $155,000 (1906) to $963,780 (1912) as its staff grew from 110 to 146.
Bonded whiskey withdrawals by state, 1898–1920
Hover any line to read the exact figure — the certification was overwhelmingly a Kentucky (and Pennsylvania) phenomenon.
Selected figures



Key estimate
Hedonic price model (log per-proof-gallon price):
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. error |
|---|---|---|
| Bottled-in-bond | +0.096* | 0.058 |
| Age (per year) | +0.074*** | 0.009 |
N = 187; R² = 0.66. p < 0.10, **p < 0.01.
Note
Active working paper: the manuscript is being assembled and FY1918–1920 (wartime) figures are still being finalized. A current draft is available on request.